Tennis · resolved market
Transylvania Open, Qualification: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Maja Chwalinska
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f8e68fe2ec25b38531049a72f042a3ffaf825d74c267bf1792c64c9de3659a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chwalinskaof Gormaz, Chwalinska
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chwalinska | 54c | 5,567$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.04 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Gormaz | 52c | 1,992$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 365 | 54.2%198 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Gormaz | 54c | 1,658$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.04 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Gormaz | 18c | 1,511$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.49 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Gormaz | 6c | 1,295$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Chwalinska | 49c | 890.44$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.44 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Chwalinska | 54c | 643.58$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.28 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Gormaz | 5c | 572.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Gormaz | 45c | 381.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.95 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Gormaz | 55c | 364.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…5fe8backed Gormaz | 55c | 337.17$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Gormaz | 51c | 295.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.86 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Gormaz | 39c | 257.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…e43bbacked Gormaz | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Gormaz | 25c | 203.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Gormaz | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Chwalinska | 59c | 181.8$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Chwalinska | 55c | 175.17$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.31 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Gormaz | 6c | 173.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Gormaz | 46c | 172$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Chwalinska | 54c | 171.13$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.12 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Gormaz | 44c | 121$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Chwalinska | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Chwalinska | 61c | 110.66$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Gormaz | 54c | 99.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Chwalinska | 70c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Gormaz | 39c | 68.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Chwalinska | 50c | 64.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +7.6wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…fdb1backed Gormaz | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Chwalinska | 56c | 60.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Gormaz | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Gormaz | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Chwalinska | 57c | 54.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Gormaz | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Chwalinska | 65c | 51.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Chwalinska | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Chwalinska | 49c | 47.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Gormaz | 36c | 46.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Gormaz | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Gormaz | 35c | 42.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Gormaz | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Chwalinska | 67c | 19.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.