Tennis · resolved market
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Lukas Pokorny
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f97510a330a132c42dcc056e7c02a8d49fea4070961ae86de489d9a06f1a123
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zdenek Kolarof Zdenek Kolar, Lukas Pokorny
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lukas Pokorny | 6c | 8,051$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.92 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Zdenek Kolar | 74c | 5,371$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.27 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Lukas Pokorny | 29c | 3,058$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.02 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lukas Pokorny | 24c | 2,234$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.95 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Lukas Pokorny | 26c | 1,693$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.13 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Zdenek Kolar | 80c | 1,186$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.06 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lukas Pokorny | 10c | 971.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lukas Pokorny | 25c | 750$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Zdenek Kolar | 70c | 714.2$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.26 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Lukas Pokorny | 5c | 694.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Zdenek Kolar | 78c | 491.31$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.67 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Zdenek Kolar | 73c | 405.4$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Zdenek Kolar | 71c | 360.16$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.45 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lukas Pokorny | 13c | 257.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Lukas Pokorny | 11c | 236.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0149…2f04backed Zdenek Kolar | 73c | 231.6$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Zdenek Kolar | 74c | 229.73$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 331 | 63.7%211 W · 120 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Zdenek Kolar | 71c | 220$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Lukas Pokorny | 10c | 171.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Zdenek Kolar | 72c | 152.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lukas Pokorny | 28c | 139.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Lukas Pokorny | 25c | 127.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Lukas Pokorny | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lukas Pokorny | 13c | 114.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Lukas Pokorny | 24c | 105.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Lukas Pokorny | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Zdenek Kolar | 69c | 99.31$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Lukas Pokorny | 14c | 90.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Lukas Pokorny | 17c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Lukas Pokorny | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 222 | 35.1%78 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…dabfbacked Lukas Pokorny | 25c | 83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfccf…2aefbacked Lukas Pokorny | 23c | 70.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Zdenek Kolar | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Lukas Pokorny | 29c | 68.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Zdenek Kolar | 80c | 67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Lukas Pokorny | 27c | 64.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Lukas Pokorny | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Lukas Pokorny | 21c | 53.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lukas Pokorny | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Lukas Pokorny | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Zdenek Kolar | 73c | 49.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Lukas Pokorny | 26c | 39.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…1be5backed Lukas Pokorny | 29c | 38.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…5b69backed Zdenek Kolar | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Zdenek Kolar | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e8…f050backed Zdenek Kolar | 79c | 19.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Zdenek Kolar | 74c | 19.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.