Tennis · resolved market
ITF Fano: Iiro Vasa vs Filip Jeff Planinsek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fbf2b2af22bc3eca063640092f69b2f0af76e5a11557973e8e1ac5a93ad94f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iiro Vasaof Iiro Vasa, Filip Jeff Planinsek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Filip Jeff Planinsek | 75c | 1,425$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.73 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Iiro Vasa | 18c | 1,200$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Filip Jeff Planinsek | 23c | 511.05$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.14 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Iiro Vasa | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Filip Jeff Planinsek | 77c | 109.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Iiro Vasa | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Iiro Vasa | 30c | 79.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Iiro Vasa | 42c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Filip Jeff Planinsek | 59c | 66.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Filip Jeff Planinsek | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Filip Jeff Planinsek | 59c | 51.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Iiro Vasa | 40c | 51.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Filip Jeff Planinsek | 68c | 50.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Iiro Vasa | 39c | 41.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Iiro Vasa | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Filip Jeff Planinsek | 36c | 34.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Iiro Vasa | 39c | 32.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…2986backed Iiro Vasa | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…898ebacked Iiro Vasa | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Iiro Vasa | 42c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Filip Jeff Planinsek | 74c | 29.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Filip Jeff Planinsek | 79c | 24.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Filip Jeff Planinsek | 77c | 17.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Filip Jeff Planinsek | 77c | 14.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…fe04backed Filip Jeff Planinsek | 78c | 12.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.