Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x304df128a54337b1daeec77a1489f8fb7cd78610042c6a46575600e85a0323cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f8…325fbacked No | 68c | 766.88$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 28c | 545.57$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.13 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 40c | 405.95$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.07 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 24c | 328.74$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.82 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 26c | 319.63$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.22 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 72c | 232$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.51 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 63c | 216$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.08 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 28c | 207$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.87 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57d…f322backed Yes | 10c | 186.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.06 | 255 | 19.2%49 W · 206 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 26c | 184.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.07 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 24c | 175.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.19 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 14c | 150.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 34c | 150$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.37 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 57c | 148.84$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 78c | 144.75$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.06 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5a…bc49backed No | 76c | 131.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 79c | 127.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.68 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 59c | 124.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 21c | 123.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.36 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 23c | 122.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 62c | 120$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…860ebacked Yes | 27c | 119.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed No | 79c | 116.57$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.18 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 31c | 115$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 41c | 110.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 17c | 107.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.12 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 24c | 103.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.34 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 16c | 99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes | 14c | 97.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.05 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 33c | 91.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Yes | 31c | 91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 73c | 90.52$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 79c | 87.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 22c | 86.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.81 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 23c | 86.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 80c | 85.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 42c | 84.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 21c | 82.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd115…4906backed Yes | 77c | 81.8$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 135 | 88.1%119 W · 16 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 33c | 79.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 22c | 77.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed Yes | 16c | 70.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…712bbacked No | 71c | 70.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 75c | 70.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf97a…3269backed No | 75c | 66.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 68c | 66.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked No | 79c | 62.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 335 | 61.5%206 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 32c | 58.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 19c | 56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 71c | 54.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…3a35backed No | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 51c | 52.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…3268backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 25c | 46.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…aadbbacked No | 30c | 46.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 52c | 41.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…d6ccbacked No | 71c | 41.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2a…967bbacked Yes | 26c | 40.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…d76ebacked Yes | 33c | 37.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 117 | 29.9%35 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed Yes | 48c | 36.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d26…2bb9backed Yes | 78c | 34.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 59c | 33.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 74c | 32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed No | 72c | 31.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde4…0b19backed Yes | 32c | 31.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +217.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 52c | 31.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 63c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x716b…9fcfbacked No | 75c | 30.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 70cpaid | -38%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 71c | 29.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb3…0900backed No | 77c | 29.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 37c | 29.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 78c | 28.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0eb…9b18backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…8f49backed No | 68c | 28.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 204 | 59.8%122 W · 82 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed No | 75c | 26.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2b9abacked No | 76c | 22.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 68c | 20.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x879e…e339backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746d…2db5backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 70c | 19.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e04…3475backed No | 72c | 19.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 76c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 78c | 17.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 77c | 16.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 77c | 15.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 79c | 15.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8786…6884backed No | 76c | 15.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 13.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.