Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63cffe0ce3f271dad8fd9f9e1a876d6bec67720ac80bdf4ffb99cb6991ac6cbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 42c | 759.45$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.27 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 52c | 310.39$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.54 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 6c | 284.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 63c | 266.95$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.77 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 55c | 261.2$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 50c | 232$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.89 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 43c | 229.39$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 58c | 217.31$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.12 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab36…38dabacked Yes | 16c | 202.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 30c | 195.27$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.54 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5a…bc49backed No | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 41c | 169.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 47c | 157.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 59c | 155.33$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 58c | 142$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 46c | 140$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 22c | 136.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 39c | 134.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 57c | 134.23$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 48c | 121.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 43c | 120.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 56c | 100.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked No | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 21c | 97.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 45c | 96.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked Yes | 50c | 95.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…aafbbacked Yes | 53c | 84.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 232 | 69%160 W · 72 L | +23.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 12c | 83.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 56c | 81.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 62c | 80.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked Yes | 44c | 79.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a31…335fbacked No | 51c | 78.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 41c | 77.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 45c | 76.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 51c | 75.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 51c | 74.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…3b47backed Yes | 51c | 70.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 48c | 70.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 26c | 69.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 40c | 69.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked Yes | 73c | 68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 335 | 61.5%206 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 78c | 66.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 52c | 65.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf279…202cbacked No | 39c | 65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Yes | 64c | 64.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 52c | 63.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 54c | 62.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…3268backed Yes | 39c | 61.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 49c | 60.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 32c | 59.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 60c | 57.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 54c | 57.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…860ebacked No | 53c | 56.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 47c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 23c | 53.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 45c | 52.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed No | 62c | 52.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Yes | 49c | 51.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff7…dbfabacked No | 74c | 51.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 100 | 81%81 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43df…8d83backed No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 56c | 51.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 44c | 50.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…868cbacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…d242backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 66c | 49.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…a773backed No | 57c | 48.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 64c | 47.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…424ebacked No | 54c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 31c | 45.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…0cf2backed Yes | 54c | 42.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…b2a7backed No | 58c | 41.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 48c | 39.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…8f49backed Yes | 58c | 38.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 44c | 37.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed Yes | 50c | 37.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 54c | 36.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…840cbacked Yes | 66c | 36.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde01…a938backed Yes | 37c | 36.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 57c | 35.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfc…8d4fbacked No | 60c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 95 | 73.7%70 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 73c | 33.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 58c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 58c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed No | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 50c | 30.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 61c | 30.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…f8b0backed No | 62c | 29.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 1?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.