Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Old Dominion Monarchs vs. James Madison Dukes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3076cb915f7c413f38f70107d0f561421da62729dc5f5eb5df8224de17736be9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- James Madison Dukesof Old Dominion Monarchs, James Madison Dukes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked James Madison Dukes | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 2c | 700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked James Madison Dukes | 11c | 646.91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.71 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked James Madison Dukes | 32c | 624.07$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.06 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed James Madison Dukes | 79c | 545$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +235.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed James Madison Dukes | 29c | 471$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…304dbacked James Madison Dukes | 23c | 360.91$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed James Madison Dukes | 60c | 348.23$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.71 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 4c | 326.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 67c | 269.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.08 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 7c | 250$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked James Madison Dukes | 48c | 242.75$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.86 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed James Madison Dukes | 33c | 200.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.66 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…1befbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ac…9955backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +15.0wins | +0.28per pick | 11cpaid | +213.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 64c | 142.53$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…e9f8backed James Madison Dukes | 21c | 107.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 28c | 94.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 70c | 79.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked James Madison Dukes | 51c | 64.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked James Madison Dukes | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked James Madison Dukes | 72c | 54.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 77c | 52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 73c | 51.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 43c | 48.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 77c | 32.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked James Madison Dukes | 72c | 17.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Old Dominion Monarchs vs. James Madison Dukesthis page
- Old Dominion Monarchs vs. James Madison Dukes: O/U 147.5Under won
- Old Dominion Monarchs vs. James Madison Dukes: O/U 148.5Under won
- Old Dominion Monarchs vs. James Madison Dukes: O/U 149.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.