CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: STATE vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x307bea8a75e545613496f62d936a814856d12a824df277061c9937a420a3dbbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- STATEof STATE, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 11c | 15,969$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.4 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…9407backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 1c | 8,291$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.63 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked STATE | 65c | 7,310$4,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.53 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 7c | 6,587$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.24 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 1c | 4,703$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 5c | 3,273$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.42 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 34c | 1,906$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.2 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…cb45backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 1c | 1,697$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked STATE | 50c | 1,568$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.68 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 12c | 1,496$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.15 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 8c | 1,459$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.58 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 45c | 1,334$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.91 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 29c | 1,074$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.52 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -10.4wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 29c | 759.38$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.22 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed STATE | 64c | 717$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.06 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 7c | 677.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d82…3847backed STATE | 48c | 649.56$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 43c | 577.01$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.21 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 32c | 575$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.09 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e64…284bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed STATE | 49c | 468.27$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.82 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 52c | 358.05$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.16 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 17c | 329$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 24c | 318.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed STATE | 48c | 298.59$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.21 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 13c | 281.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 51c | 277.87$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.71 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 27c | 212.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked STATE | 50c | 199.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.79 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 29c | 191.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 29c | 191.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked STATE | 58c | 167.61$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.12 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed STATE | 59c | 158.81$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.54 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed STATE | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 34c | 132.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 75c | 131.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -20.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 14c | 107$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed STATE | 23c | 105.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 48c | 102.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked STATE | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 61c | 80.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 41c | 63.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 32c | 60.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked STATE | 44c | 57.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…cf2dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 34c | 44.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…c22ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 34c | 42.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 34c | 42.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 29c | 40.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a6…a40abacked STATE | 49c | 39.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed STATE | 42c | 39.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 38c | 35.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 60c | 35.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 52c | 29.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 36c | 28.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 41c | 25.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed STATE | 50c | 24.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…02d4backed STATE | 66c | 22.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4048…d4adbacked STATE | 48c | 21.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked STATE | 66c | 21.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6c…09bfbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…5e22backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerex-Zero Tenacity won
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 WinnerSTATE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.