TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Islanders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Kings, Islanders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,289
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,289 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x046d…1a10backed Kings54c1,800$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e49…efb3backed Kings54c1,800$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59e1…2c89backed Islanders46c1,800$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea1…98debacked Islanders46c1,800$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Islanders45c1,127$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.66137.7%23 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kings56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Islanders3c868$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.627450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Islanders21c763.51$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.465743.9%25 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Islanders13c627.24$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5331334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders44c612.76$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.481,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeee…ccb7backed Islanders37c561.54$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2065160.8%31 W · 20 L+7.5wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Kings73c548.43$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.816657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Islanders44c499.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.991,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Islanders44c499.87$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9429847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x939d…2ed5backed Kings55c489.54$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.29580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f6d…fdefbacked Islanders45c489.54$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.2930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb492…b7edbacked Kings56c461.64$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Kings55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.643568.6%24 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Islanders4c315.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.351915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Kings55c291.49$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.171,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings55c267.49$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.371,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kings54c254.99$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7672444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings53c249.98$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.495250%26 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Islanders13c233.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.291334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Kings55c217.83$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.022661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Islanders46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007650%38 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x047a…29eebacked Islanders46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaef2…a55cbacked Kings54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e0…d485backed Islanders47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17c5…e7eebacked Islanders46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba7d…469cbacked Kings54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Islanders45c186.33$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8554349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Kings55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Kings56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5713562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf61b…f73ebacked Islanders46c172.34$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.284551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Kings60c167.9$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.169861.2%60 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb0a…3e6abacked Kings13c162.12$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.04475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+179.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x362a…9e11backed Islanders22c151.91$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.91633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-37.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61dd…cb5abacked Kings56c142.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2983…59d1backed Kings56c132.68$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.831248.4%151 W · 161 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab95…61a1backed Kings58c126.18$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.287248.6%35 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed Islanders22c120.36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.487338.4%28 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e14…b4b8backed Islanders45c114.29$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb95…1758backed Kings56c114.29$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Islanders44c114$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1611445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Islanders44c113.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1523144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59e0…f1aabacked Kings14c109.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+203.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Islanders45c99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5581846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Islanders44c94.42$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.559459.6%56 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7464…7b74backed Islanders77c93.18$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39b9…a7c0backed Kings23c93.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf779…f699backed Kings55c83.96$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9064…4f3ebacked Islanders46c83.95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef95…228ebacked Kings54c83.4$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.18728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-55.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Islanders38c79.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4884051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Kings18c77.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3666951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6565…124dbacked Islanders46c73.91$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kings54c65.28$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0375155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28a7…adfabacked Kings54c64.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.52475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+58.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20b3…bf06backed Kings56c61.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.321361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6144…2fffbacked Kings55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274452.3%23 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…99babacked Kings55c58.23$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.21520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-63.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ab1…5b18backed Islanders45c53.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d68…93bdbacked Islanders29c52.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c03…a03cbacked Islanders35c48.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.11540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Islanders44c44.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.794839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0206…82b5backed Kings56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.644266.7%28 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc77…efe0backed Kings56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x185c…dee1backed Islanders46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33ad…1f28backed Islanders46c43.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbe…bfadbacked Kings54c43.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc310…ced7backed Islanders46c42.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5166…46febacked Islanders45c41.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+46%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcbf…0a15backed Kings54c39.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.39757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf87…292cbacked Islanders45c39.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.99560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3b…9b8abacked Kings54c38.61$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.63450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x657a…f5ebbacked Kings55c38.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4281…844dbacked Islanders45c38.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87e1…b74cbacked Kings55c38.14$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.02425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7041…3c45backed Kings54c36.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bb1…2a78backed Islanders47c36.07$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.95728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38bd…63aabacked Kings54c35.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafdb…964ebacked Islanders45c35.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8616…5768backed Kings55c34.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5187…2c16backed Islanders46c34.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa06…850ebacked Kings55c34.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdff6…0d4ebacked Islanders42c34.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.31714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.44per pick58cpaid-76.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x305c…64a7backed Islanders45c31.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c25…ead5backed Islanders45c30.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.71616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x62a7…0b44backed Kings77c29.72$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3a4…fe21backed Kings54c29.64$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.63616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9807…e27ebacked Kings54c29.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc65e…33c9backed Islanders46c28.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.27520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-60.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5766…2c90backed Islanders46c28.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb4…3580backed Islanders44c27.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.311040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3efd…eccebacked Islanders45c27.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.41650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52eb…bec6backed Kings55c27.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9873…352dbacked Kings58c27.47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.546100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+105.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9f01…8e6ebacked Kings54c27.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.58450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.