CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Bebop (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3115c13e949da63de0a86b463045143910fa9112ef713e5a913b2fa0592e4fcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walczakiof Walczaki, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Walczaki | 73c | 1,693$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.59 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bebop | 31c | 1,121$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.81 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Walczaki | 69c | 1,043$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.48 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bebop | 23c | 788.05$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.05 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Bebop | 27c | 696.07$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.94 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bebop | 27c | 476.64$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Walczaki | 74c | 474$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.24 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Bebop | 26c | 411.54$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Bebop | 29c | 280$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Walczaki | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked Walczaki | 73c | 224.26$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Bebop | 28c | 192.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Walczaki | 78c | 188$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Bebop | 27c | 185$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Walczaki | 75c | 170.9$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Bebop | 10c | 164.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Bebop | 29c | 75.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bebop | 22c | 68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Walczaki | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bebop | 29c | 49.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Walczaki | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 140 | 68.6%96 W · 44 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Walczaki | 72c | 44.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…55c0backed Bebop | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed Walczaki | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Walczaki | 70c | 25.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Bebop (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Bebop - Map 1 WinnerWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Bebop - Map 2 WinnerWalczaki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.