Tennis · resolved market
ITF Vitoria-Gasteiz: Maria Golovina vs Melisa Ercan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3185dcfbc2be23390be3839c8e236808c11606186af1c56975581053fab5200e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Golovinaof Maria Golovina, Melisa Ercan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Maria Golovina | 69c | 863.35$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.35 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Melisa Ercan | 44c | 580.71$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.12 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Melisa Ercan | 31c | 552.89$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.48 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Melisa Ercan | 22c | 493.2$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.57 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Maria Golovina | 56c | 465.61$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.87 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Melisa Ercan | 27c | 349.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Melisa Ercan | 23c | 246.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Melisa Ercan | 30c | 231$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Melisa Ercan | 33c | 187.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Maria Golovina | 56c | 183.93$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Melisa Ercan | 20c | 151.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Maria Golovina | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Maria Golovina | 69c | 108.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5354…9905backed Maria Golovina | 69c | 108.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Maria Golovina | 56c | 92.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Melisa Ercan | 23c | 92.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Maria Golovina | 56c | 91.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Maria Golovina | 70c | 87.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Melisa Ercan | 22c | 72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Maria Golovina | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Maria Golovina | 69c | 71.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Melisa Ercan | 22c | 68.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Melisa Ercan | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Melisa Ercan | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Maria Golovina | 62c | 59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Maria Golovina | 75c | 58.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Melisa Ercan | 21c | 58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Maria Golovina | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Maria Golovina | 74c | 51.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Melisa Ercan | 24c | 48.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Maria Golovina | 69c | 45.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Melisa Ercan | 32c | 44.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Maria Golovina | 71c | 39.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Maria Golovina | 67c | 35.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Maria Golovina | 68c | 35.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Maria Golovina | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Melisa Ercan | 33c | 32.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Maria Golovina | 77c | 32.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Melisa Ercan | 33c | 31.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Maria Golovina | 69c | 26.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Maria Golovina | 60c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Maria Golovina | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Maria Golovina | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Maria Golovina | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Maria Golovina | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.