Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Kent
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x319970e9873b18f423d6a360ff658925ee20eab31cbdc1c373c41098add7fad0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kentof Surrey, Kent
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kent | 75c | 1,421$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.06 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Surrey | 62c | 1,133$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.11 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Surrey | 15c | 924.86$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.82 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Surrey | 22c | 692.55$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Surrey | 15c | 652.78$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Kent | 46c | 623$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.14 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Kent | 49c | 618.11$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Kent | 37c | 550.2$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.79 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Kent | 46c | 433$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Kent | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Surrey | 20c | 373$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Surrey | 17c | 354$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…9459backed Surrey | 58c | 258.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Surrey | 60c | 206.1$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.34 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…2e22backed Surrey | 7c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Kent | 38c | 197.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.62 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kent | 69c | 197.56$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kent | 37c | 169.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.29 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Surrey | 59c | 156.61$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kent | 79c | 126.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kent | 37c | 99.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Surrey | 63c | 99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…e37cbacked Surrey | 26c | 90.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Surrey | 16c | 79.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Surrey | 48c | 63.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Surrey | 43c | 56.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Surrey | 60c | 49.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…5438backed Kent | 41c | 49.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…e91fbacked Surrey | 41c | 48.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Surrey | 63c | 43.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcb…ced9backed Kent | 37c | 43.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…f527backed Kent | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Surrey | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Kent | 61c | 40.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Surrey | 52c | 39.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Kent | 57c | 34.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Surrey | 62c | 33.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Surrey | 64c | 29.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Surrey | 65c | 27.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Kent | 62c | 22.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Surrey | 63c | 22.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Kent | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Surrey | 62c | 18.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…f1a8backed Kent | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- T20 Blast: Surrey vs Kentthis page
- T20 Blast: Surrey vs Kent - Who wins the toss?Kent won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.