Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-11-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x319c85922aa5d8a235dc2c5e12f4f4a4249be4ac1e4692aec079ce1967e6baa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 77c | 15,000$11,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.99 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 17c | 10,050$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.89 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 23c | 6,118$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 79c | 2,873$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.48 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 11c | 2,314$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.85 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.97 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 18c | 1,368$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.93 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 77c | 1,074$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.11 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…d567backed No | 9c | 590.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 13c | 359.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 12c | 327$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 22c | 264.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 19c | 254.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 23c | 224$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…cf7dbacked Yes | 77c | 171.43$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99dd…6f77backed Yes | 77c | 163.64$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc67…3020backed Yes | 78c | 161.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9176…852abacked Yes | 77c | 155.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f0…ef95backed Yes | 77c | 148.05$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5094…8514backed Yes | 77c | 138.96$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 20c | 133.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 21c | 124.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 78c | 115.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 22c | 111$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed No | 27c | 110.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…758ebacked Yes | 11c | 107$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed No | 11c | 98.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…48b6backed Yes | 78c | 92.17$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 20c | 90.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0a…f786backed Yes | 77c | 89.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc5…3bc2backed Yes | 79c | 88.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 21c | 66.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…1ec7backed Yes | 79c | 51.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked No | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…3013backed Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca2…2014backed Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…da85backed Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb7…3d04backed Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…f002backed Yes | 77c | 29.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc03…89ccbacked Yes | 79c | 29.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…1a98backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f70…fe13backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…e4e2backed Yes | 77c | 17.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-11-21?this page
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2025-11-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.