Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31c9bdc9540114c77d1cc29c1ac6acd16df09a0212af7e1238743ce74f422574
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio State Buckeyesof Ohio State Buckeyes, Rutgers Scarlet Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 54c | 2,583$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.89 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 6c | 1,541$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.95 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 80c | 1,493$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.6 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 31c | 1,358$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.48 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 20c | 1,162$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.35 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 6c | 1,107$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 45c | 1,036$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.2 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 31c | 1,005$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.75 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 6c | 911.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 15c | 735$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 67c | 671.45$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.15 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 23c | 614.81$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 66c | 494.75$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.83 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 22c | 474$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.22 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 23c | 425.92$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 67c | 400$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 51c | 331.08$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.24 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 41c | 304.48$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.65 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 77c | 260.39$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 79c | 249.98$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 73c | 215$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 63c | 146.71$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 76c | 122.9$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f71…b80ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 36c | 97.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 41c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 68c | 40.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e76…b6d5backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 63c | 16.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.