TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KOLESIEof Walczaki, KOLESIE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,099
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,068

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,099 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5667…8ca3backed KOLESIE40c4,299$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,600.412454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde24…e804backed Walczaki41c2,740$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.115935.6%21 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Walczaki55c2,436$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.92,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf99e…4d03backed Walczaki4c1,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60140%0 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Walczaki2c1,500$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332927.6%8 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+307.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Walczaki2c1,160$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.521943.6%7 W · 187 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51f9…19a0backed KOLESIE75c1,003$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.752090%18 W · 2 L+5.3wins+0.27per pick63cpaid+74.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked KOLESIE32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.1343751.7%226 W · 211 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Walczaki2c822.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.113324.8%33 W · 100 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb084…be70backed Walczaki4c797.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.375824.1%14 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1522…70febacked KOLESIE26c646.35$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.6636346%167 W · 196 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…203abacked KOLESIE26c629.74$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.819153.8%49 W · 42 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed KOLESIE41c593.06$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.1341050.7%208 W · 202 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Walczaki12c487$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6342427.1%115 W · 309 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Walczaki5c460.48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4110921.1%23 W · 86 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Walczaki62c360.38$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.873,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed KOLESIE19c347.44$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.234,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked KOLESIE40c334.11$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.344,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked KOLESIE75c315$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.756845.6%31 W · 37 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x835a…a5c8backed Walczaki78c266.29$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.61952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed Walczaki74c262.46$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19328254.6%154 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed KOLESIE40c250.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8798856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Walczaki64c242.57$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.1152750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed KOLESIE11c236.17$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.492,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Walczaki61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12218432.6%60 W · 124 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a19…86c8backed Walczaki61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1226330.2%19 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked KOLESIE27c185.19$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.384,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3afd…ccc3backed KOLESIE26c179.58$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.972536%9 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x525d…1f1bbacked KOLESIE13c168.02$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.1710655.7%59 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Walczaki56c158.25$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9459732.2%192 W · 405 L-49.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-38.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed KOLESIE35c150$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.252,34346.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L-49.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca2…5d25backed Walczaki73c145.08$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9117759.9%106 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked Walczaki71c140.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x285b…df1ebacked Walczaki77c135.51$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7515247.4%72 W · 80 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdf…6498backed Walczaki52c125.21$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.482962.1%18 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xac5d…7235backed Walczaki56c110.85$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.634165.9%27 W · 14 L+6.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+25.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Walczaki66c106.04$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.165,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Walczaki77c105.6$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.882,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x602a…9a6ebacked Walczaki65c103.85$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.56841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Walczaki61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6137339.7%148 W · 225 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked KOLESIE65c92.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3715646.8%73 W · 83 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked KOLESIE39c92.05$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.357,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked Walczaki65c91.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6231845.3%144 W · 174 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed KOLESIE16c88.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3378043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97c4…9991backed Walczaki77c87.3$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6712155.4%67 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed KOLESIE31c86$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3445240.3%182 W · 270 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed Walczaki65c85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2532544.3%144 W · 181 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…e910backed Walczaki77c84.96$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.993672.2%26 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed KOLESIE19c84.47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.86,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0ab…4be1backed Walczaki62c81.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Walczaki67c80.73$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Walczaki62c77.79$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.922,45434.4%845 W · 1,609 L-189.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Walczaki69c72.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.852,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb691…67f7backed Walczaki72c69.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504774.5%35 W · 12 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd776…4fb8backed KOLESIE22c67.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.837435.1%26 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c47…8d6dbacked Walczaki75c66.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503161.3%19 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick70cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf49a…8981backed Walczaki80c59.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9219142.4%81 W · 110 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked KOLESIE18c59.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.823,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Walczaki61c54.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.375927.1%16 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Walczaki55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.585351.7%441 W · 412 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked KOLESIE30c39.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.831,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df0…95b3backed Walczaki67c39.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0113770.8%97 W · 40 L+15.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+17.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Walczaki73c38.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0535148.1%169 W · 182 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Walczaki35c38.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.383,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked Walczaki72c36.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2838269.4%265 W · 117 L+30.8wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked KOLESIE36c31.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.091,64332.8%539 W · 1,104 L-48.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked KOLESIE39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.172,33042.5%991 W · 1,339 L-71.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a51…4ef6backed KOLESIE42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.43644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2669…fa0dbacked Walczaki55c29.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.963050%15 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed Walczaki71c26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5615157%86 W · 65 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08fe…355fbacked Walczaki60c25.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510659.4%63 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Walczaki64c18.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.015922.9%17 W · 575 L-219.6wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.9%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0xbd30…9a01backed Walczaki67c17.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6628561.1%174 W · 111 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed Walczaki77c13.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5840971.9%294 W · 115 L+23.6wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.