CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31f9ddb1648800d4fb36815f3e53452b4a55fee795d31e3c19f50b6089bbd397
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof Walczaki, KOLESIE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5667…8ca3backed KOLESIE | 40c | 4,299$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.41 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…e804backed Walczaki | 41c | 2,740$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.11 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Walczaki | 55c | 2,436$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.9 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…4d03backed Walczaki | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Walczaki | 2c | 1,500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +307.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Walczaki | 2c | 1,160$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f9…19a0backed KOLESIE | 75c | 1,003$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.75 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.27per pick | 63cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked KOLESIE | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.13 | 437 | 51.7%226 W · 211 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Walczaki | 2c | 822.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…be70backed Walczaki | 4c | 797.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked KOLESIE | 26c | 646.35$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.66 | 363 | 46%167 W · 196 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…203abacked KOLESIE | 26c | 629.74$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.81 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed KOLESIE | 41c | 593.06$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.13 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Walczaki | 12c | 487$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Walczaki | 5c | 460.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Walczaki | 62c | 360.38$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.87 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed KOLESIE | 19c | 347.44$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.23 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked KOLESIE | 40c | 334.11$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.34 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked KOLESIE | 75c | 315$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x835a…a5c8backed Walczaki | 78c | 266.29$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Walczaki | 74c | 262.46$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed KOLESIE | 40c | 250.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.87 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Walczaki | 64c | 242.57$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.11 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KOLESIE | 11c | 236.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.49 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Walczaki | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a19…86c8backed Walczaki | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked KOLESIE | 27c | 185.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.38 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3afd…ccc3backed KOLESIE | 26c | 179.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.97 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x525d…1f1bbacked KOLESIE | 13c | 168.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.17 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Walczaki | 56c | 158.25$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 597 | 32.2%192 W · 405 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed KOLESIE | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.25 | 2,343 | 46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L | -49.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed Walczaki | 73c | 145.08$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.91 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Walczaki | 71c | 140.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked Walczaki | 77c | 135.51$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdf…6498backed Walczaki | 52c | 125.21$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…7235backed Walczaki | 56c | 110.85$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Walczaki | 66c | 106.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Walczaki | 77c | 105.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…9a6ebacked Walczaki | 65c | 103.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Walczaki | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked KOLESIE | 65c | 92.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KOLESIE | 39c | 92.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Walczaki | 65c | 91.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed KOLESIE | 16c | 88.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.33 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c4…9991backed Walczaki | 77c | 87.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed KOLESIE | 31c | 86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Walczaki | 65c | 85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…e910backed Walczaki | 77c | 84.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed KOLESIE | 19c | 84.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…4be1backed Walczaki | 62c | 81.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Walczaki | 67c | 80.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Walczaki | 62c | 77.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Walczaki | 69c | 72.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…67f7backed Walczaki | 72c | 69.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed KOLESIE | 22c | 67.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…8d6dbacked Walczaki | 75c | 66.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed Walczaki | 80c | 59.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked KOLESIE | 18c | 59.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Walczaki | 61c | 54.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Walczaki | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 853 | 51.7%441 W · 412 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked KOLESIE | 30c | 39.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed Walczaki | 67c | 39.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | +15.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Walczaki | 73c | 38.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Walczaki | 35c | 38.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Walczaki | 72c | 36.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 382 | 69.4%265 W · 117 L | +30.8wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked KOLESIE | 36c | 31.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 1,643 | 32.8%539 W · 1,104 L | -48.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked KOLESIE | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a51…4ef6backed KOLESIE | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2669…fa0dbacked Walczaki | 55c | 29.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Walczaki | 71c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 151 | 57%86 W · 65 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked Walczaki | 60c | 25.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Walczaki | 64c | 18.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 592 | 2.9%17 W · 575 L | -219.6wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Walczaki | 67c | 17.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 285 | 61.1%174 W · 111 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Walczaki | 77c | 13.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 409 | 71.9%294 W · 115 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 1 WinnerWalczaki won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5)KOLESIE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.