Cricket · resolved market
T20 South American Championship: Panama vs Colombia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x320c6d1bc0a7393bc67fd67e5f40416916f084d1982d6f593104309fcfca2e76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panamaof Panama, Colombia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colombia | 11c | 1,984$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.49 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Colombia | 3c | 1,700$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Colombia | 9c | 1,680$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.9 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Colombia | 4c | 1,400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Colombia | 4c | 1,280$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Colombia | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Colombia | 3c | 833.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked Colombia | 4c | 364.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Colombia | 21c | 355$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Panama | 80c | 313.48$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…5e63backed Colombia | 5c | 310.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Panama | 72c | 278$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Colombia | 16c | 191.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Panama | 73c | 145.21$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Colombia | 32c | 136.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Colombia | 30c | 135.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Panama | 66c | 121.43$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Panama | 50c | 101.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Panama | 80c | 98.21$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Colombia | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Panama | 65c | 80.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Colombia | 44c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Colombia | 31c | 77.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Colombia | 42c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Colombia | 72c | 52.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Colombia | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Panama | 69c | 47.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Panama | 59c | 33.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Colombia | 36c | 28.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Panama | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Panama | 58c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Panama | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Panama | 78c | 12.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.85 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.