TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Stonehill Skyhawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Stonehill Skyhawksof Fairleigh Dickinson Knights, Stonehill Skyhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,523
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,183

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,523 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6814…a9e7backed Stonehill Skyhawks48c585$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.23,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa90…b224backed Stonehill Skyhawks12c400$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick28cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights50c338$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3894036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights68c177$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.171,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Stonehill Skyhawks58c173.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0948462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa302…6c3fbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights33c169.7$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565910.2%6 W · 53 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-66.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights44c151.34$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5958345.5%265 W · 318 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Stonehill Skyhawks39c148.21$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.611,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Stonehill Skyhawks46c129$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.222,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights64c109.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5736942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd682…1ae2backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights10c104.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42267.7%2 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-79.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights44c99.71$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.742,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights61c98.28$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9345953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights26c96.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.823331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights23c81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6366831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Stonehill Skyhawks46c75.55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.134,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Stonehill Skyhawks56c69$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.361,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecc2…eeefbacked Stonehill Skyhawks70c51.03$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.317272.2%52 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights51c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.481,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights63c48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2412840.6%52 W · 76 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Stonehill Skyhawks62c30.13$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.471,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights44c29.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.991,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights55c28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5122050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Stonehill Skyhawks70c23.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.971,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Stonehill Skyhawks56c22.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…0275backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda4d…217abacked Stonehill Skyhawks63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.43560%21 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.