Tennis · resolved market
ITF The Hague: Yannik Kelm vs Louis Wessels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32c160e43239507548f0132e029e8d172c981c5c412e11fec8a859a0fd51a9ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louis Wesselsof Yannik Kelm, Louis Wessels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Yannik Kelm | 49c | 1,035$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.82 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yannik Kelm | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Louis Wessels | 35c | 825$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.25 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Yannik Kelm | 42c | 734.65$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.55 | 141 | 33.3%47 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Yannik Kelm | 2c | 695.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 330 | 43.9%145 W · 185 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Yannik Kelm | 8c | 632.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Louis Wessels | 35c | 599.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.64 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Yannik Kelm | 8c | 598.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Louis Wessels | 49c | 542.24$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.54 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Yannik Kelm | 7c | 448.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Yannik Kelm | 7c | 408.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Yannik Kelm | 8c | 379.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Yannik Kelm | 28c | 336.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 1,131 | 45.4%514 W · 617 L | -34.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yannik Kelm | 28c | 304.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Louis Wessels | 36c | 294.13$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Yannik Kelm | 64c | 257.81$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 402 | 54.5%219 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Louis Wessels | 41c | 242.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.4 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Yannik Kelm | 64c | 225.71$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.18 | 904 | 59.5%538 W · 366 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Louis Wessels | 49c | 210.2$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Louis Wessels | 52c | 197.95$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Louis Wessels | 67c | 192.36$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Yannik Kelm | 65c | 151.6$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 591 | 57.7%341 W · 250 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Louis Wessels | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yannik Kelm | 64c | 98.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Louis Wessels | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Louis Wessels | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Louis Wessels | 35c | 91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 556 | 41.2%229 W · 327 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Yannik Kelm | 64c | 87.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 410 | 61.5%252 W · 158 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Louis Wessels | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Louis Wessels | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yannik Kelm | 17c | 78.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yannik Kelm | 69c | 67.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Louis Wessels | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Louis Wessels | 34c | 61.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yannik Kelm | 66c | 61.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Louis Wessels | 68c | 56.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yannik Kelm | 67c | 55.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Louis Wessels | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Louis Wessels | 34c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Yannik Kelm | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Louis Wessels | 52c | 38.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 441 | 44.7%197 W · 244 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Louis Wessels | 53c | 33.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Louis Wessels | 33c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Louis Wessels | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Yannik Kelm | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 826 | 59.3%490 W · 336 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602e…4630backed Yannik Kelm | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.