Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Denver Pioneers (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32f17e5b24519643d97b9f94fee3c94f2491dd784c2c96cb8fbc0c2f39d7cfea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Denver Pioneersof Denver Pioneers, Oral Roberts Golden Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $439,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $440,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $439,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 52c | 420,420$220,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220,648.75 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Denver Pioneers | 47c | 295,644$139,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155,705.63 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Denver Pioneers | 48c | 55,217$26,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,820.27 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Denver Pioneers | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,800 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Denver Pioneers | 47c | 12,000$5,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,320 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Denver Pioneers | 48c | 7,096$3,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,704.37 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Denver Pioneers | 49c | 4,718$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404.8 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Denver Pioneers | 51c | 4,147$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.06 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 52c | 3,867$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.15 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Denver Pioneers | 48c | 2,900$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Denver Pioneers | 48c | 2,280$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.01 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Denver Pioneers | 48c | 918$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.12 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Denver Pioneers | 46c | 830$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.4 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Denver Pioneers | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.24 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Denver Pioneers | 46c | 764.81$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Denver Pioneers | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Denver Pioneers | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Denver Pioneers | 49c | 254.34$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.35 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Denver Pioneers | 46c | 243.33$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.4 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0f…780bbacked Denver Pioneers | 45c | 178.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Denver Pioneers | 39c | 124.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.09 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Denver Pioneers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Denver Pioneers | 50c | 94.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Denver Pioneers | 50c | 92.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Denver Pioneers | 55c | 77.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 50c | 61.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 63c | 55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Denver Pioneers | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Denver Pioneers | 37c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Denver Pioneers | 50c | 43.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…c7dfbacked Denver Pioneers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cd…e8d7backed Denver Pioneers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -7.3wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Denver Pioneers | 50c | 32.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 52c | 24.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Denver Pioneers | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Denver Pioneers | 52c | 23.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Denver Pioneers | 52c | 20.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Denver Pioneers (-7.5)this page
- Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. Denver PioneersDenver Pioneers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.