MLB · resolved market
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x332de8b89de14e92fe1b9967cd2da6b99e484997379eb55522d59ce684c8a290
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Texas Rangers, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 3,820$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.1 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Texas Rangers | 36c | 2,834$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.39 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 75c | 2,437$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.1 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 2,433$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.79 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 24c | 2,245$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.64 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Los Angeles Angels | 74c | 2,085$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Rangers | 24c | 2,060$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.59 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Texas Rangers | 32c | 1,437$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.73 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…e8d1backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 1,165$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 1,127$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.38 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 1,125$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.91 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Los Angeles Angels | 76c | 1,041$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.79 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 860$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.6 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…2f33backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 540.92$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.73 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers | 24c | 523.43$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.06 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Los Angeles Angels | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 358.31$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.99 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Texas Rangers | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 173.43$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…9ce7backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 156.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…c60dbacked Texas Rangers | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Los Angeles Angels | 77c | 126.1$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Texas Rangers | 35c | 125.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Texas Rangers | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Angels | 80c | 112.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Texas Rangers | 23c | 80.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Rangers | 22c | 72.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…6e63backed Los Angeles Angels | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Texas Rangers | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Texas Rangers | 24c | 48.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Texas Rangers | 35c | 48.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Angels | 76c | 39.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 34.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Texas Rangers | 34c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…4976backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 26.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 19.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa0…8779backed Los Angeles Angels | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Angels | 76c | 14.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 3.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.