MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00dde710682a54f199f5e194d7f2f2b898e3b1fc56de391bf4e32aadd9fe393b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 52c | 31,199$16,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,223.6 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 48c | 28,997$13,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,078.93 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 62c | 2,982$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.44 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 2,637$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.94 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 34c | 2,356$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.09 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 2,298$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.47 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 65c | 2,223$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.41 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 62c | 1,821$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.29 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.99 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 32c | 1,295$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 38c | 1,030$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.35 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 48c | 838.31$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.92 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 53c | 510$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.3 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Under | 54c | 454.87$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.24 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 40c | 421.72$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.93 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 39c | 298.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 17c | 283.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 62c | 268.4$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.13 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 43c | 265.77$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.04 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 47c | 248.9$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.92 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 53c | 194.34$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…c60dbacked Over | 53c | 163.25$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.52 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…5737backed Over | 39c | 101.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Under | 48c | 101.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Over | 53c | 84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 18c | 83.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…39e5backed Under | 68c | 58.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…6131backed Over | 53c | 54.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 48c | 54.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 53c | 39.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f0…8722backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Under | 48c | 32.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…94b2backed Under | 48c | 24.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 3.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.