Lol · resolved market
LoL: Croatian Flair x RLX vs Lupus Esports (BO3) - EBL Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3366af39100675e511b8d663f1b2aa74b058fb9d2135f28e540e4108af2ddf7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Croatian Flair x RLX of Croatian Flair x RLX , Lupus Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Croatian Flair x RLX | 55c | 1,735$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.95 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lupus Esports | 45c | 1,242$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.71 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Croatian Flair x RLX | 48c | 591.32$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.39 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +23.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Lupus Esports | 79c | 581.68$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.05 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Lupus Esports | 42c | 379$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.18 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Croatian Flair x RLX | 22c | 272.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.65 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5409…79dbbacked Croatian Flair x RLX | 57c | 263.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.18 | 301 | 60.8%183 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Lupus Esports | 57c | 196.49$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Croatian Flair x RLX | 51c | 143.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 505 | 50.7%256 W · 249 L | +34.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c84backed Croatian Flair x RLX | 49c | 104.15$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 344 | 38.7%133 W · 211 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Croatian Flair x RLX | 45c | 103.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Croatian Flair x RLX | 20c | 97.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.94 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Croatian Flair x RLX | 35c | 93.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Lupus Esports | 45c | 91.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 634 | 26%165 W · 469 L | -90.0wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lupus Esports | 45c | 91.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Lupus Esports | 55c | 83.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 243 | 56.4%137 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed Lupus Esports | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 539 | 32.5%175 W · 364 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Lupus Esports | 53c | 79.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lupus Esports | 49c | 67.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Lupus Esports | 56c | 62.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed Croatian Flair x RLX | 49c | 54.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed Lupus Esports | 65c | 46.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Lupus Esports | 70c | 46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Lupus Esports | 51c | 43.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lupus Esports | 65c | 43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Croatian Flair x RLX | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Lupus Esports | 42c | 38.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf4…0e3dbacked Croatian Flair x RLX | 47c | 36.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Lupus Esports | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Croatian Flair x RLX | 48c | 34.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Lupus Esports | 42c | 34.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Lupus Esports | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Croatian Flair x RLX | 50c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fda…1407backed Lupus Esports | 77c | 25.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…9626backed Lupus Esports | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Lupus Esports | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…8cc4backed Croatian Flair x RLX | 51c | 22.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 411 | 51.1%210 W · 201 L | +19.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Croatian Flair x RLX | 61c | 21.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Lupus Esports | 59c | 20.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed Croatian Flair x RLX | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…5d02backed Lupus Esports | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…38a6backed Lupus Esports | 73c | 17.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Croatian Flair x RLX | 60c | 16.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 356 | 39.3%140 W · 216 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f8…1d2fbacked Lupus Esports | 76c | 13.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Croatian Flair x RLX vs Lupus Esports (BO3) - EBL Regular Seasonthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Croatian Flair x RLX vs Lupus Esports - Game 2 WinnerCroatian Flair x RLX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.