Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Huamantla 4 Men: Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias vs Joseph Hernandez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x341417d6f9ce1dd814db9433201c7fab1b4cd889bcdd716708a1497e2629bbd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joseph Hernandezof Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias, Joseph Hernandez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias | 46c | 2,642$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.02 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Joseph Hernandez | 53c | 2,495$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.49 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias | 49c | 2,007$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.71 | 166 | 36.7%61 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Joseph Hernandez | 53c | 1,838$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.25 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Joseph Hernandez | 50c | 1,818$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.76 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias | 34c | 1,464$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.13 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias | 56c | 1,055$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.06 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Joseph Hernandez | 68c | 933.61$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.4 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Joseph Hernandez | 68c | 636.37$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.45 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Joseph Hernandez | 64c | 563.19$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.62 | 355 | 58.6%208 W · 147 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Joseph Hernandez | 64c | 465.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.5 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…bdc6backed Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias | 31c | 274.61$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -25.1wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Joseph Hernandez | 67c | 225.32$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…9169backed Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias | 45c | 217.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bd…158bbacked Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias | 49c | 197$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.87 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias | 48c | 150.39$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias | 46c | 123.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias | 45c | 80.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias | 51c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Joseph Hernandez | 72c | 67.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Joseph Hernandez | 28c | 61.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Joseph Hernandez | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Joseph Hernandez | 59c | 27.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…4b80backed Joseph Hernandez | 65c | 24.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Joseph Hernandez | 55c | 20.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Joseph Hernandez | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Joseph Hernandez | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.