Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ellie Daniels vs Emma Ottavia Ghirardato
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34f6d56275c00d06aabdda363a8466ba545bb3852b102d6f42b008b09cfcc104
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ellie Danielsof Ellie Daniels, Emma Ottavia Ghirardato
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a76…032bbacked Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 2c | 40,400$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 65c | 1,385$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Ellie Daniels | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Ellie Daniels | 49c | 568.09$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.43 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Ellie Daniels | 77c | 565.02$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ellie Daniels | 43c | 105.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Ellie Daniels | 50c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Ellie Daniels | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 29c | 67.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 65c | 60.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 50c | 53.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 46c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 46c | 52.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 70c | 49.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Ellie Daniels | 30c | 49.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 34c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 65c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Ellie Daniels | 57c | 34.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 59c | 34.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 63c | 27.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.