CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Benched gods - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34ff3c1c5ffcb26f591dfda236e27d84e205b6314f05a6810d363268dd7be465
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Butterflyof Butterfly, Benched gods
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0478…37c3backed Butterfly | 55c | 2,801$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.02 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5b…d1ddbacked Butterfly | 55c | 1,380$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.96 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Benched gods | 38c | 1,170$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.26 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Butterfly | 57c | 989.68$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.83 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Benched gods | 43c | 950.05$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.19 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80c…5a6dbacked Benched gods | 49c | 838.12$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.33 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Benched gods | 36c | 826.9$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.36 | 1,643 | 32.8%539 W · 1,104 L | -48.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed Benched gods | 41c | 532.99$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.75 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed Benched gods | 41c | 531.99$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.45 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed Benched gods | 43c | 509.07$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.83 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Benched gods | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Benched gods | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.92 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Benched gods | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Benched gods | 36c | 479.31$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.95 | 620 | 48.2%299 W · 321 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…a6d3backed Benched gods | 50c | 466.09$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.83 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Benched gods | 16c | 368.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Butterfly | 55c | 363.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Butterfly | 65c | 322.05$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.15 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Benched gods | 34c | 240$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 485 | 43.1%209 W · 276 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Butterfly | 46c | 216.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.07 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Benched gods | 54c | 216.79$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.07 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9a43backed Butterfly | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | +17.4wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Benched gods | 20c | 159$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Benched gods | 74c | 123.48$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.95 | 1,062 | 42.2%448 W · 614 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Benched gods | 19c | 122.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Benched gods | 59c | 105$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 834 | 43.6%364 W · 470 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Benched gods | 45c | 99.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Benched gods | 31c | 93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked Butterfly | 60c | 83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Benched gods | 43c | 81.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Benched gods | 43c | 77.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Benched gods | 48c | 77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Benched gods | 19c | 60.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Benched gods | 27c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Benched gods | 52c | 40.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Butterfly | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Butterfly | 45c | 38.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Butterfly | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 2,343 | 46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L | -49.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…1071backed Butterfly | 49c | 35.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Benched gods - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group StageButterfly won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.