CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac361a3cd9c0a4327cd81065fe76f16f3bc36db4701338b7453cef127ef2d672
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Butterflyof Butterfly, Benched gods
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0478…37c3backed Butterfly | 57c | 1,796$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.32 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Benched gods | 28c | 1,387$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.23 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…6019backed Benched gods | 43c | 1,174$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.45 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Butterfly | 76c | 1,084$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.25 | 620 | 48.2%299 W · 321 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Benched gods | 27c | 992.55$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.31 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Butterfly | 76c | 812.94$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.68 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Benched gods | 27c | 789.77$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.39 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x805d…f780backed Butterfly | 66c | 757.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.97 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Benched gods | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Benched gods | 30c | 488.64$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.04 | 746 | 33.4%249 W · 497 L | -48.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa80c…5a6dbacked Benched gods | 25c | 470.67$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.52 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54bc…b4e9backed Butterfly | 56c | 447.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.33 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Butterfly | 52c | 409.14$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.5 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Benched gods | 18c | 384.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…cafebacked Butterfly | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Benched gods | 32c | 377.2$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.27 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Butterfly | 53c | 376.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.09 | 463 | 54%250 W · 213 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…b58fbacked Benched gods | 21c | 337.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…a6d3backed Butterfly | 55c | 322$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Benched gods | 15c | 309$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Benched gods | 20c | 295.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 390 | 40.8%159 W · 231 L | +30.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Benched gods | 25c | 269.35$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Butterfly | 59c | 244.6$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Benched gods | 47c | 242.82$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Benched gods | 46c | 216.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Benched gods | 47c | 208.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.16 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…c078backed Butterfly | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6575…c2c7backed Butterfly | 73c | 137.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Butterfly | 78c | 133.14$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 1,360 | 66.3%901 W · 459 L | +75.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Benched gods | 47c | 128.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Benched gods | 49c | 125.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5b…d1ddbacked Butterfly | 76c | 104.28$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Benched gods | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…dfaabacked Butterfly | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Butterfly | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Benched gods | 26c | 95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Benched gods | 45c | 94.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Benched gods | 47c | 94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 478 | 36.8%176 W · 302 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Butterfly | 64c | 90.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 1,606 | 46.8%752 W · 854 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Butterfly | 58c | 84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Benched gods | 19c | 81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Butterfly | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Butterfly | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Benched gods | 46c | 79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Benched gods | 22c | 73.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Butterfly | 53c | 73.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664f…868cbacked Butterfly | 69c | 72.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Benched gods | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Benched gods | 47c | 69.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…ce3dbacked Butterfly | 62c | 64.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…179ebacked Benched gods | 47c | 58.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Benched gods | 21c | 58.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 766 | 46.1%353 W · 413 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Benched gods | 47c | 53.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Benched gods | 41c | 53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Butterfly | 74c | 51.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Benched gods | 29c | 46.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…def2backed Benched gods | 54c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Benched gods | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Benched gods | 45c | 42.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Benched gods | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…1160backed Benched gods | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 414 | 37%153 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Benched gods | 27c | 37.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…13dabacked Benched gods | 47c | 35.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -11.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…1753backed Butterfly | 55c | 34.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x812c…b81fbacked Butterfly | 65c | 26.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed Butterfly | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Butterfly | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1558…4f75backed Butterfly | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdc…838abacked Butterfly | 74c | 19.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Benched gods - Map 2 WinnerButterfly won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.