Euroleague · resolved market
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Jilin Northeast Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x354c3ba1b3de3422185733ac6593175efddb2dacb47c5fc9631e4569421d521b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jilin Northeast Tigersof Tianjin Pioneers, Jilin Northeast Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tianjin Pioneers | 12c | 1,938$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.21 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.54 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Tianjin Pioneers | 59c | 1,478$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.47 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 40c | 1,207$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.25 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tianjin Pioneers | 5c | 1,196$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Tianjin Pioneers | 67c | 1,161$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tianjin Pioneers | 69c | 789.56$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 26c | 721.57$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.96 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tianjin Pioneers | 55c | 646$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.19 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 62c | 630$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.05 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Tianjin Pioneers | 72c | 469.17$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Tianjin Pioneers | 23c | 162.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Tianjin Pioneers | 67c | 148.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed Tianjin Pioneers | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 74c | 101.35$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Tianjin Pioneers | 46c | 100.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3c…0696backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 32c | 99.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.49 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 72c | 90$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 61c | 84.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tianjin Pioneers | 51c | 84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Tianjin Pioneers | 71c | 79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 31c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf413…807abacked Tianjin Pioneers | 72c | 52.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Tianjin Pioneers | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Tianjin Pioneers | 27c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Tianjin Pioneers | 71c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Tianjin Pioneers | 70c | 42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Tianjin Pioneers | 71c | 36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Tianjin Pioneers | 67c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 72c | 31.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Tianjin Pioneers | 68c | 29.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Tianjin Pioneers | 70c | 28.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Tianjin Pioneers | 72c | 18.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Tianjin Pioneers | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.