TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Tristan Boyer

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sebastian Baezof Sebastian Baez, Tristan Boyer
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,037
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,956

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,037 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Tristan Boyer12c4,044$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.969,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Tristan Boyer9c2,225$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0115225%38 W · 114 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Tristan Boyer9c1,877$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.933,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tristan Boyer16c1,226$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7411,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Sebastian Baez67c1,199$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.422,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Tristan Boyer28c1,184$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.141,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Tristan Boyer25c999.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25085634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Tristan Boyer9c822.13$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.072,09944.5%935 W · 1,164 L-51.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Tristan Boyer24c819.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.941,13145.4%514 W · 617 L-34.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Sebastian Baez80c816.36$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.574057.5%23 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Tristan Boyer14c762.24$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7142125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Sebastian Baez75c663.73$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7359165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Tristan Boyer13c528.68$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.024,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Tristan Boyer25c500.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Sebastian Baez75c493.87$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.396,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Sebastian Baez74c420$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1736961.8%228 W · 141 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Sebastian Baez74c406.64$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1635755.5%198 W · 159 L+0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Sebastian Baez74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Tristan Boyer13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Tristan Boyer25c371.71$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.937,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tristan Boyer18c363.44$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa058…d9f7backed Tristan Boyer16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Sebastian Baez73c298.39$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0258745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Tristan Boyer5c289$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.685,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Tristan Boyer26c288.56$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.033,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb86c…b76fbacked Sebastian Baez75c250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.520763.3%131 W · 76 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Tristan Boyer27c202$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5455641.2%229 W · 327 L-2.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Tristan Boyer22c155.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521533.5%72 W · 143 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Sebastian Baez74c135.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3885568.3%584 W · 271 L+24.6wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfc7…2a87backed Sebastian Baez75c133.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.772552%13 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0094…eea5backed Tristan Boyer13c126.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16329.4%3 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+92.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Tristan Boyer22c124.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9130544.3%135 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sebastian Baez75c123.82$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.728,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Tristan Boyer15c119.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1817436.8%64 W · 110 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe46c…8526backed Tristan Boyer10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103522.9%8 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Tristan Boyer30c99.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.761,88257.4%1,081 W · 801 L+104.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Tristan Boyer27c75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.252,52836.2%914 W · 1,614 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Tristan Boyer26c73.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3385637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Sebastian Baez72c69.51$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.511,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Sebastian Baez72c68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0498055.4%543 W · 437 L+3.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x150c…add3backed Sebastian Baez75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6720670.4%145 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Sebastian Baez74c59.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.647854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Tristan Boyer26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tristan Boyer25c49.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.387,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Tristan Boyer24c45.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Tristan Boyer25c40.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.211,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5637…8692backed Sebastian Baez75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109761.9%60 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Tristan Boyer27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.843242.4%183 W · 249 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a4…3926backed Sebastian Baez74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.459466.7%396 W · 198 L-1.3wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Sebastian Baez73c39.98$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7942353.7%227 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0149…2f04backed Sebastian Baez75c34.21$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.552286.4%19 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3238…6471backed Sebastian Baez75c30.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.717964.6%51 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Sebastian Baez76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.252,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1de1…8f45backed Sebastian Baez74c26.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.962572%18 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Sebastian Baez73c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0295658.2%556 W · 400 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64fc…9b30backed Sebastian Baez73c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.553865.8%25 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Sebastian Baez73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.41,22953.1%653 W · 576 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Sebastian Baez74c18.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8834159.5%203 W · 138 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Sebastian Baez68c16.02$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1391755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Sebastian Baez73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0567848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Sebastian Baez79c14.34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.0120259.4%120 W · 82 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.