Fifa International · resolved market
Bosnia-Herzegovina to score first vs. Qatar?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35947b9c3ff98dd297698f6d9f4e99b71656847884a868cb9162b9ddc7e9acca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Yes | 69c | 1,159$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.42 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 31c | 1,148$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.08 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…2e52backed Yes | 73c | 958.9$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.9 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 27c | 799.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 27c | 391.68$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 71c | 313.91$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.03 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…9b11backed No | 28c | 229.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 152 | 29.6%45 W · 107 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed No | 27c | 196.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 73c | 194.06$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…a580backed Yes | 73c | 160.77$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked No | 33c | 135.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 27c | 77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 29c | 71.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0513…5219backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb24…d79fbacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 27c | 63.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 28c | 60.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 29c | 59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a9…572fbacked Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0637…0facbacked Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 29c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4206…f874backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 82 | 70.7%58 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bc…17c2backed Yes | 72c | 20.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b6…a582backed Yes | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 72c | 15.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…1e5cbacked Yes | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed Yes | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bosnia-Herzegovina to score first vs. Qatar?this page
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Neither team to score first?No won
- Qatar to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.