Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Le Moyne Dolphins vs. New Haven Chargers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35fb7f3590a725c1941cd30ab89629af9a77b5f17a826121b5c202ceb5babb10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Haven Chargersof Le Moyne Dolphins, New Haven Chargers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New Haven Chargers | 44c | 3,258$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.57 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked New Haven Chargers | 45c | 2,514$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.49 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 55c | 2,382$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.19 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 57c | 2,130$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.58 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef07…e118backed New Haven Chargers | 46c | 1,862$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed New Haven Chargers | 47c | 1,294$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.55 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 55c | 1,077$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.13 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 56c | 991.38$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.17 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed New Haven Chargers | 37c | 826$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.42 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New Haven Chargers | 46c | 811.29$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 45c | 801.59$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.8 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 59c | 768.88$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.14 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 55c | 729.54$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.25 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda5a…93c3backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 54c | 650$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked New Haven Chargers | 45c | 641.7$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.73 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…8454backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 54c | 630$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df9…8393backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 54c | 590$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed New Haven Chargers | 44c | 451.08$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.6 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked New Haven Chargers | 39c | 418.83$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.53 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New Haven Chargers | 58c | 342.86$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 32c | 340.91$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked New Haven Chargers | 48c | 299.07$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.51 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed New Haven Chargers | 58c | 290.42$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 55c | 283.76$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.07 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 46c | 258.6$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.96 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 54c | 236.65$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.83 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New Haven Chargers | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 53c | 163.24$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.47 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 55c | 156.23$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.93 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked New Haven Chargers | 35c | 147$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.55 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed New Haven Chargers | 41c | 115.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 55c | 110.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 54c | 106.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed New Haven Chargers | 34c | 99.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.48 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed New Haven Chargers | 29c | 96.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed New Haven Chargers | 40c | 87.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 56c | 79.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed New Haven Chargers | 36c | 73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 53c | 65.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 47c | 63.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -6.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…d641backed New Haven Chargers | 63c | 60.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 55c | 59.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed New Haven Chargers | 44c | 58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 52c | 57.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e5…3c33backed New Haven Chargers | 45c | 54.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 56c | 53.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 46c | 52.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked New Haven Chargers | 31c | 45.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 40c | 39.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140f…0b2ebacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 52c | 36.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked New Haven Chargers | 67c | 36.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…8debbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 52c | 34.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…c695backed New Haven Chargers | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3392…de47backed New Haven Chargers | 42c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 52c | 28.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fc…314dbacked New Haven Chargers | 52c | 21.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…7f10backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 73c | 20.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 52c | 19.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.