MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36633dc4eb89c026afd7087af08faca4bdb45bcd710cd432e63e2d0cd5697285
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Kiwoom Heroes, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 1,085$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.97 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes | 22c | 699.87$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.93 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 485.75$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.16 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 17c | 347.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Doosan Bears | 78c | 304$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.29 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kiwoom Heroes | 18c | 281.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 15c | 253.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 17c | 250$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Doosan Bears | 55c | 243.96$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kiwoom Heroes | 26c | 242.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Doosan Bears | 69c | 176.96$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Doosan Bears | 64c | 157.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 151.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 19c | 146.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 22c | 94.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Doosan Bears | 78c | 91.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Doosan Bears | 61c | 73.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 54.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…268dbacked Doosan Bears | 55c | 54.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 45.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Doosan Bears | 62c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Doosan Bears | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Doosan Bears | 74c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ca…5c97backed Doosan Bears | 62c | 37.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 33.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 31.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 28.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Doosan Bears | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.