Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on March 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36702850f213882b1befbee1e2b3c08bc01d98edeec87e0689c6e233cbcc8dee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf596…026cbacked Yes | 8c | 985$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…1e74backed Yes | 14c | 275.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…45b5backed Yes | 70c | 241$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.7 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.32per pick | 51cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe92b…fa4dbacked Yes | 45c | 238.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.24 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…696bbacked Yes | 10c | 192.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab2…05c7backed No | 71c | 168$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Yes | 15c | 145$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +9.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +39%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2522…6ee1backed Yes | 29c | 142$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7287…d1a3backed No | 30c | 141$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6357…9d92backed Yes | 33c | 130$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…1f91backed Yes | 29c | 123$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…f387backed No | 64c | 119.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 12c | 118$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1383backed No | 55c | 117$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…8d19backed No | 11c | 114.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.01 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb182…005fbacked Yes | 20c | 101.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 600 | 33.8%203 W · 397 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd666…bb93backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +201.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…4b22backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4765…c9a0backed Yes | 75c | 95$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f46…c3c0backed No | 64c | 91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfc…4b9bbacked Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495b…4627backed Yes | 63c | 79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55d…84b0backed No | 37c | 77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +167.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…e954backed Yes | 27c | 76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…9f20backed Yes | 66c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…9b81backed Yes | 24c | 66.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…892dbacked Yes | 27c | 62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cd…3384backed No | 25c | 55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…1b51backed No | 37c | 53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…e1d3backed Yes | 32c | 53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…cd4dbacked No | 73c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf872…2e34backed Yes | 52c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked No | 41c | 50.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +20.1wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…7af1backed Yes | 38c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…62f0backed Yes | 32c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0df…a552backed No | 37c | 46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Yes | 64c | 45.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd364…6375backed Yes | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…d079backed Yes | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59a…ed62backed Yes | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 29c | 43.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 250 | 6%15 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -67%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3e…9a55backed No | 71c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7856…1707backed Yes | 26c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…2743backed Yes | 52c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b3…d178backed Yes | 45c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…2311backed No | 37c | 43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf9…36d1backed No | 33c | 42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +201.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9c…c9c3backed Yes | 32c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3b…22ccbacked Yes | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…2cbbbacked Yes | 46c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…bc78backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a29…a453backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d8…0432backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422f…3ffbbacked No | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +195%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…0641backed Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2edc…5fbabacked No | 38c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…62fabacked Yes | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…a51cbacked Yes | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0203…987fbacked Yes | 45c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3512…2c99backed No | 35c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 321 | 33.3%107 W · 214 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f9…5d5fbacked Yes | 63c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…ab41backed Yes | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20fe…79bbbacked Yes | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…8269backed No | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a70…be64backed No | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…497ebacked No | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0225…da57backed No | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd72a…b950backed No | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa68c…5c18backed Yes | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 41c | 30.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78c3…2016backed No | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +167.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…b8dbbacked No | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d09…fbd2backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54b…7a1fbacked Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79b…730bbacked Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217c…47f8backed No | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…cd99backed Yes | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49cb…a277backed No | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a8…eaa0backed No | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb762…e58ebacked Yes | 63c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf552…e9b2backed Yes | 63c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c0…3608backed Yes | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cec…96abbacked No | 69c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a74…413ebacked Yes | 76c | 26.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…ece6backed No | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…c4babacked Yes | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…11fbbacked No | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…7759backed No | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd39…ed73backed Yes | 63c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…0627backed Yes | 63c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d9…e52ebacked No | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5abf…1d74backed No | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebe…7442backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…0878backed No | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb479…e5cebacked No | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b2…282fbacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd5…9454backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on March 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 57°F or higher on March 4?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 47-48°F on March 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 49-50°F on March 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on March 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on March 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.