Lol · resolved market
LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x367ff3086902846f7b3e38e674e6c55fe18e01db0454d2e272d656a0f13e9d23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Meavedronof Meavedron, EXILE esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed EXILE esports | 23c | 11,532$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655.17 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Meavedron | 75c | 6,422$4,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.49 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked EXILE esports | 10c | 1,809$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.24 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed EXILE esports | 17c | 861.67$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.78 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked EXILE esports | 13c | 661.84$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.31 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed EXILE esports | 11c | 423.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 438 | 37.9%166 W · 272 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed EXILE esports | 24c | 217.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed EXILE esports | 9c | 132$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked EXILE esports | 16c | 128.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed EXILE esports | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 539 | 32.5%175 W · 364 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed EXILE esports | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked EXILE esports | 15c | 79.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed EXILE esports | 13c | 78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…cf07backed EXILE esports | 21c | 72.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked EXILE esports | 23c | 61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed EXILE esports | 21c | 56.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…c227backed Meavedron | 69c | 36.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 80 | 83.8%67 W · 13 L | +11.2wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Meavedron | 73c | 34.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed EXILE esports | 39c | 32.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed EXILE esports | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 222 | 39.6%88 W · 134 L | -21.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Meavedron | 70c | 25.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 356 | 39.3%140 W · 216 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Meavedron | 63c | 23.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 113 | 69%78 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb79a…f24fbacked Meavedron | 76c | 22.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Meavedron | 73c | 19.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…2305backed Meavedron | 73c | 19.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonthis page
- LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports - Game 1 WinnerMeavedron won
- LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports - Game 2 WinnerMeavedron won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.