Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brisbane: Stefani Webb vs Lily Fairclough
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x369146db25f6bf8c05783a9844ccbddee37c1b3f7f6463311760be44b27cd9ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stefani Webbof Stefani Webb, Lily Fairclough
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lily Fairclough | 8c | 1,465$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…5c23backed Stefani Webb | 54c | 969.34$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.42 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Lily Fairclough | 54c | 926.85$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lily Fairclough | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Stefani Webb | 46c | 450$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Stefani Webb | 69c | 336.34$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.32 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Lily Fairclough | 49c | 187.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Lily Fairclough | 54c | 133.11$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.88 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Lily Fairclough | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…8ebebacked Stefani Webb | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Stefani Webb | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Lily Fairclough | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Lily Fairclough | 49c | 97.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Stefani Webb | 80c | 93.29$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Lily Fairclough | 31c | 92.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Stefani Webb | 46c | 91.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Lily Fairclough | 47c | 70.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Lily Fairclough | 48c | 68.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lily Fairclough | 48c | 63.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Stefani Webb | 54c | 51.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Stefani Webb | 51c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Stefani Webb | 51c | 42.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Lily Fairclough | 44c | 22.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4f75backed Stefani Webb | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Stefani Webb | 57c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.