Euroleague · resolved market
Ningbo Rockets vs. Qingdao Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36b38754eb2289ad97112289f432c4148a012b0243be6036bbdd199c1cb108c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ningbo Rocketsof Ningbo Rockets, Qingdao Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ningbo Rockets | 57c | 8,766$5,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,754.19 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Qingdao Eagles | 42c | 2,662$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.38 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Qingdao Eagles | 43c | 2,429$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.68 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Qingdao Eagles | 41c | 1,905$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.17 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Qingdao Eagles | 63c | 1,683$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.64 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Ningbo Rockets | 37c | 1,347$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.89 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Ningbo Rockets | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.09 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Qingdao Eagles | 63c | 953.9$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Qingdao Eagles | 36c | 823.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Qingdao Eagles | 65c | 770$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Ningbo Rockets | 34c | 383.55$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.71 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf413…807abacked Ningbo Rockets | 59c | 332.25$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.65 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed Qingdao Eagles | 32c | 188.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Qingdao Eagles | 54c | 127.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Qingdao Eagles | 41c | 120.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Ningbo Rockets | 60c | 108.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Qingdao Eagles | 38c | 100.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Ningbo Rockets | 37c | 95.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bec…2f99backed Qingdao Eagles | 65c | 77.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Qingdao Eagles | 63c | 77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Qingdao Eagles | 67c | 74.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Ningbo Rockets | 33c | 74.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Ningbo Rockets | 70c | 67.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Ningbo Rockets | 53c | 63.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Qingdao Eagles | 35c | 59.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Qingdao Eagles | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Ningbo Rockets | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Ningbo Rockets | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Qingdao Eagles | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Qingdao Eagles | 50c | 43.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Ningbo Rockets | 30c | 41.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Qingdao Eagles | 52c | 41.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ningbo Rockets | 48c | 39.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Qingdao Eagles | 33c | 39.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Ningbo Rockets | 37c | 38.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Qingdao Eagles | 32c | 34.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Qingdao Eagles | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Qingdao Eagles | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ningbo Rockets | 59c | 24.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Qingdao Eagles | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.