Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Stanford Cardinal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36c17c23e7ed10f3e42b054609737a4b5f1dfb9a6a09bd27b9a8bc5d24f1e1c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Notre Dame Fighting Irishof Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Stanford Cardinal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68ce…d06dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 40c | 2,500$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.61 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 58c | 2,334$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.46 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde6d…0926backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 52c | 1,868$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.27 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Stanford Cardinal | 9c | 1,546$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.89 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Stanford Cardinal | 55c | 1,257$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.92 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Stanford Cardinal | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 25c | 926.44$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.66 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 72c | 686.55$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.86 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Stanford Cardinal | 9c | 331.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 54c | 269.7$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.03 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stanford Cardinal | 21c | 223.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 23c | 214.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.58 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 35c | 208$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.22 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stanford Cardinal | 42c | 199.69$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Stanford Cardinal | 14c | 174.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stanford Cardinal | 71c | 154.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.57 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 50c | 141.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stanford Cardinal | 14c | 135.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Stanford Cardinal | 12c | 120.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 73c | 119.07$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 26c | 99.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Stanford Cardinal | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Stanford Cardinal | 74c | 79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Stanford Cardinal | 73c | 70$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 38c | 67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 62c | 49.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Stanford Cardinal | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 37c | 43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 28c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Stanford Cardinal | 74c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.