NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x377baaf09a9f9fe2f67508b447604ccadc248bbacd3d9d03a7c695731d13793d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Pacers, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pacers | 35c | 2,326$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.95 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Knicks | 63c | 1,742$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.47 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1eb…7afebacked Knicks | 65c | 1,113$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.53 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pacers | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Knicks | 65c | 923.06$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.07 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Pacers | 34c | 882.01$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.8 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Pacers | 37c | 815.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…c635backed Pacers | 35c | 753.7$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…7120backed Knicks | 66c | 752.83$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.96 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Knicks | 64c | 609$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.15 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Knicks | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Knicks | 65c | 393.74$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.81 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224c…eb44backed Knicks | 66c | 378.59$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…d3fdbacked Pacers | 34c | 364.13$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Pacers | 39c | 255.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6807…391ebacked Knicks | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Knicks | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Pacers | 34c | 139.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Knicks | 65c | 124.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Knicks | 63c | 123.34$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…5d47backed Pacers | 35c | 114.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…c007backed Knicks | 65c | 108$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Pacers | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Knicks | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Knicks | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b30…7cf1backed Pacers | 33c | 99.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c5…4fa3backed Pacers | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x269d…e0c2backed Knicks | 66c | 80.73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x957e…da1ebacked Knicks | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef7…ff8abacked Knicks | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Knicks | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…a563backed Pacers | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…5282backed Pacers | 35c | 63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c51…d903backed Pacers | 34c | 59.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Knicks | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Pacers | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3330…29debacked Pacers | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Pacers | 31c | 43.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Knicks | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…b5a0backed Knicks | 64c | 42.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…6c29backed Pacers | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…2688backed Pacers | 35c | 39.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -9.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…1d4dbacked Pacers | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed Knicks | 66c | 32.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Knicks | 67c | 29.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 139 | 69.1%96 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…bb47backed Knicks | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7b…417cbacked Knicks | 65c | 28.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3f…27d5backed Knicks | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…d7e4backed Knicks | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.