NFL · resolved market
Scorigami in NFL Week 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37e587e9f651ab3d8617c92fe6adcce48edfc93056148e4cebcc2e659d7ea8c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb618…14babacked Yes | 27c | 5,712$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6482…f8b6backed No | 78c | 4,936$3,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 22c | 2,168$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.51 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 22c | 2,001$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.02 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…bd72backed No | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…fc4cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,433$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.68 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 25c | 1,404$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.89 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed No | 74c | 900$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e9…de83backed No | 75c | 739.08$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.17 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…11d1backed No | 75c | 670.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed No | 78c | 469.55$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 25c | 444$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…bba9backed No | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2e…182dbacked Yes | 28c | 355.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 29c | 346.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1514…2624backed Yes | 24c | 320.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2bacbacked No | 76c | 264.93$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 14c | 183.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9627…432fbacked No | 77c | 143.28$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1657…9be6backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…6802backed No | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 25c | 111.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…aa28backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…ef33backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06c…2da7backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…95a2backed No | 76c | 61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8b…303cbacked No | 75c | 60.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed Yes | 21c | 49.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5121…fa94backed No | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a3…4a7dbacked Yes | 26c | 42.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…2c83backed No | 78c | 42.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048d…a493backed No | 77c | 29.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…2a23backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.