Tennis · resolved market
Stearns vs. Bencic: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x382d10ee21f21be9ecf9994825dc5c3d9dcc3c20a4aeca479a6af923b897a878
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Over | 52c | 10,350$5,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,422.83 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 4,009$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.61 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 49c | 2,055$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.14 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 47c | 1,300$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 906$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.18 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Under | 48c | 676$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.52 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 379$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.24 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 372$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.16 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under | 50c | 267.24$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.62 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 48c | 105$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 48c | 102.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…75a4backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Under | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…0377backed Over | 51c | 96.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8179…5c4dbacked Under | 50c | 74.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Over | 49c | 45.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 50c | 45.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stearns vs. Bencic: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Roland Garros WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Belinda BencicBelinda Bencic won
- Set 1 Winner: Stearns vs BencicBencic won
- Set Handicap: Bencic (-1.5) vs Stearns (+1.5)Bencic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.