Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tokyo: Moerani Bouzige vs Yuki Mochizuki
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x382f00e29f19bd81c033fdaaa730c64268efd450b933854375e958e73be1c034
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yuki Mochizukiof Moerani Bouzige, Yuki Mochizuki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Moerani Bouzige | 37c | 5,603$2,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.38 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yuki Mochizuki | 60c | 4,687$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.13 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yuki Mochizuki | 70c | 1,125$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f93…eb20backed Yuki Mochizuki | 48c | 937.96$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.61 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Moerani Bouzige | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Moerani Bouzige | 61c | 482.19$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.46 | 447 | 51.7%231 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yuki Mochizuki | 52c | 179.68$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.16 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yuki Mochizuki | 46c | 177.24$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Moerani Bouzige | 57c | 169.52$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.63 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yuki Mochizuki | 78c | 156$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yuki Mochizuki | 70c | 144.8$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540e…263dbacked Yuki Mochizuki | 52c | 135.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Moerani Bouzige | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yuki Mochizuki | 53c | 99.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4053…d21abacked Yuki Mochizuki | 57c | 94.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Moerani Bouzige | 62c | 69.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…cdb0backed Yuki Mochizuki | 57c | 38.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b69…aa11backed Moerani Bouzige | 61c | 37.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yuki Mochizuki | 29c | 35.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Moerani Bouzige | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Moerani Bouzige | 69c | 35.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…3be3backed Moerani Bouzige | 75c | 26.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4f75backed Moerani Bouzige | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Moerani Bouzige | 74c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 275 | 56%154 W · 121 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.