Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Asuncion Men: Santiago De la Fuente vs Dakotah Bobo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38cbe2ad8a384dd81e61f78a58b5c9c2fe78a77b96ef73bdd5b2bfbd0be0266d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Santiago De la Fuenteof Santiago De la Fuente, Dakotah Bobo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Santiago De la Fuente | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Santiago De la Fuente | 77c | 824.11$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.74 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x615b…9591backed Dakotah Bobo | 31c | 781.91$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Dakotah Bobo | 39c | 696.93$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.67 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dakotah Bobo | 31c | 615.63$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.06 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…5369backed Santiago De la Fuente | 78c | 604.3$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.46 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Dakotah Bobo | 21c | 231.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Santiago De la Fuente | 66c | 216.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.19 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Santiago De la Fuente | 67c | 201.96$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Santiago De la Fuente | 61c | 147.65$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dakotah Bobo | 24c | 111$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Dakotah Bobo | 42c | 108.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 249 | 36.5%91 W · 158 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Dakotah Bobo | 40c | 95.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Dakotah Bobo | 38c | 93.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59fd…2c1dbacked Santiago De la Fuente | 57c | 57.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Santiago De la Fuente | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Santiago De la Fuente | 77c | 41.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Dakotah Bobo | 32c | 36.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Santiago De la Fuente | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Santiago De la Fuente | 73c | 27.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Dakotah Bobo | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 347 | 29.4%102 W · 245 L | -35.6wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Santiago De la Fuente | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…fe04backed Dakotah Bobo | 64c | 15.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.