TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Club León FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,314

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,019 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over26c4,992$1,282 inLost-$1,281.825,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Under61c3,017$1,837 inWon+$1,179.971984.2%16 W · 3 L+5.2wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+54.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under64c2,686$1,719 inWon+$967.0931136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under77c2,676$2,050 inWon+$625.392,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over36c1,397$508 inLost-$508.398,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over37c958.83$356 inLost-$355.772,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over36c693.99$250 inLost-$249.841,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over21c448$94 inLost-$93.782,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over34c312.99$107 inLost-$106.631,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under66c303.03$200 inWon+$103.032055%11 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over35c277.4$97 inLost-$97.099148.4%44 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over37c200$73 inLost-$7312933.3%43 W · 86 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under66c142.3$94 inWon+$48.4766837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over13c142$19 inLost-$18.9785220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over35c136.93$48 inLost-$47.81,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under66c93.88$62 inWon+$31.887048.6%34 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over36c76.25$27 inLost-$27.453,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Under76c52.63$40 inWon+$12.636877.9%53 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under66c50$33 inWon+$171844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under67c50$34 inWon+$16.517852.8%94 W · 84 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over36c46$17 inLost-$16.568930.3%27 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1573…a727backed Over35c42$15 inLost-$14.71942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over36c39.28$14 inLost-$14.1416050.6%81 W · 79 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under75c38$29 inWon+$9.572058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under65c37.31$24 inWon+$13.2234155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over35c37$13 inLost-$12.9550643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over35c37$13 inLost-$12.9535046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over36c36.79$13 inLost-$13.121,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Over36c36$13 inLost-$12.965952.5%31 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under60c33.33$20 inWon+$13.3315057.3%86 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Under64c27.57$18 inWon+$9.927350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over38c26.69$10 inLost-$10.082365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd97…ae50backed Under60c24.87$15 inWon+$9.95164.7%33 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under64c23.23$15 inWon+$8.362236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under60c21.51$13 inWon+$8.5419349.2%95 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under76c21.35$16 inWon+$5.1260156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under76c21.35$16 inWon+$5.1295155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under76c18$14 inWon+$4.3241262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.