MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39508f7a1812ef0abe6da5fa8ffc5af412d02579c220503b62cd1d9538eeb411
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Kia Tigers, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Kia Tigers | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.96 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 1,264$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.01 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 1,129$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.12 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 1,080$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.45 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 958.92$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.13 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 956.53$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.55 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62af…daeebacked Kia Tigers | 69c | 956.01$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 713.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.67 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 56c | 699.99$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.99 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kiwoom Heroes | 30c | 633.08$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.32 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 417$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.39 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 67c | 378.72$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.19 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 373.64$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.93 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 20c | 297.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 283.17$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.42 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 267.96$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…9361backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 185.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 166.01$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.71 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 142.65$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Kiwoom Heroes | 46c | 129.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Kiwoom Heroes | 47c | 102.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…95a2backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 101.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Kia Tigers | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 23c | 99.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 98.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 90.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Kia Tigers | 57c | 84.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 81.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 78.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Kia Tigers | 54c | 76.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 74.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 72.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 29c | 72.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…0747backed Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 66.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 63.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 286 | 39.2%112 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Kia Tigers | 78c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Kia Tigers | 59c | 30.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Kia Tigers | 68c | 29.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 29.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…070abacked Kia Tigers | 50c | 24.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…217cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 24.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x458a…53aabacked Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 24.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a1…7f20backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 24.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b7…a7f3backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb58f…5c19backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 20.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kia Tigers | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3834…d360backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 18.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc26…5039backed Kia Tigers | 78c | 17.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.