Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39d1aedae168c55acb99891acfe5e7ca3a17cae74a455eb2c0ff504e5839ddd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Purdue Boilermakersof Nebraska Cornhuskers, Purdue Boilermakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 53c | 2,902$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.8 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Purdue Boilermakers | 46c | 2,404$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.08 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 1,949$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.86 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 54c | 1,843$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.05 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 48c | 1,652$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.99 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 47c | 1,033$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.35 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Purdue Boilermakers | 48c | 827.31$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.65 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 54c | 512.64$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 48c | 85.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 40c | 54.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…b328backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Purdue Boilermakers | 47c | 40.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 49c | 32.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 47c | 25.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 53c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)this page
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska CornhuskersPurdue Boilermakers won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 145.5Over won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 146.5Over won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 147.5Over won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 148.5Over won
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-2.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.