Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8d309dac63267975cb7e0312759a5a06d20e248b84826f4bb48aa82f402d0e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 45c | 68,709$30,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,774.89 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 55c | 27,742$15,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,183.61 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 23,806$13,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,017.56 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 56c | 7,500$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.51 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 47c | 6,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…461fbacked Under | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 53c | 2,569$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.02 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 1,795$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.66 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 49c | 1,539$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.89 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Under | 53c | 1,186$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.66 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 49c | 918.37$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.37 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Under | 53c | 709.43$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 46c | 516$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.64 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 46c | 453.86$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.25 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 54c | 216.68$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 55c | 180.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 56c | 112.48$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 56c | 104.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 51c | 103$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…ccd8backed Over | 46c | 100.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…b8f3backed Under | 52c | 96.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…a119backed Under | 52c | 92.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 52c | 87.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 51c | 59.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 52c | 57.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca3…ac80backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 55c | 37.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 55c | 31.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8394…20a3backed Under | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 48c | 21.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over | 49c | 20.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 19.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 147.5this page
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska CornhuskersPurdue Boilermakers won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 145.5Over won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 146.5Over won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 148.5Over won
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-2.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.