Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x214c46296f9b65bcbe0eb16fd0be46e98b3ec12a8dcbb0a4b2c55b394da7f0fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 46c | 1,300$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.99 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 55c | 690.26$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.64 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 45c | 555$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 380.68$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.16 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…50c3backed Under | 55c | 254.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 54c | 225$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 54c | 156$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Over | 50c | 99.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Over | 44c | 89.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 70c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 23.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 148.5this page
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska CornhuskersPurdue Boilermakers won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 145.5Over won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 146.5Over won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 147.5Over won
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-2.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.