MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a33c40a6efb71347dadf2b40947083adb15e6e5061b76e40e6ee544c6fb736b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Samsung Lions, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 5,966$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.05 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed NC Dinos | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed NC Dinos | 50c | 662.27$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.51 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked NC Dinos | 50c | 610.8$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 562.75$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.38 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb4…c08dbacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked NC Dinos | 48c | 480.68$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.73 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed NC Dinos | 13c | 415.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 322.78$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.62 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked NC Dinos | 48c | 219.32$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Samsung Lions | 65c | 208.22$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 21c | 206.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed NC Dinos | 13c | 138$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 127.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…2ba5backed NC Dinos | 51c | 118.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 101.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked NC Dinos | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked NC Dinos | 48c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…6d16backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed NC Dinos | 51c | 48.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NC Dinos | 35c | 36.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 28.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Samsung Lions | 52c | 28.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked NC Dinos | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed NC Dinos | 49c | 22.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Samsung Lions | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.