Asian League · resolved market
Will Henan FC win on 2026-07-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ab83f221d5881eb2b45783a822d6db1d299a4f1b1a8b643a48bde94f34433f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9709…52abbacked No | 0c | 26,328$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 5c | 12,456$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.87 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 80c | 7,500$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 20c | 3,827$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.4 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +13.5wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 19c | 3,648$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.61 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked No | 7c | 2,528$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.83 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 8c | 2,464$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.85 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 20c | 1,703$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.36 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 8c | 1,560$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.81 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 16c | 1,239$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.73 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 8c | 676.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 3c | 613.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 5c | 561.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 4c | 543.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 20c | 409.41$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 22c | 398.74$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.53 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e0…b50ebacked No | 22c | 342.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 13c | 291.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 75c | 242.67$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 80c | 225.35$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 19c | 199.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked No | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 67c | 149.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 27c | 144.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…d807backed Yes | 76c | 121.46$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 64c | 114.93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 36c | 114.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 61c | 111.96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 321 | 54.2%174 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 17c | 102.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352a…ff24backed Yes | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 32c | 87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 22c | 79.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 27c | 63.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 76c | 63.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Yes | 77c | 52.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 76c | 52.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 35c | 52.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 421 | 51.3%216 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc3…c9f1backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked No | 41c | 46.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa12d…5a58backed Yes | 65c | 46.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0f…9915backed Yes | 77c | 42.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…41a6backed Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…fd5ebacked Yes | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Yes | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 56c | 31.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed No | 34c | 29.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 73c | 27.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Yes | 63c | 25.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…d1c2backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Yes | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…29a1backed Yes | 69c | 22.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd5…e2e7backed No | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b65…a7bfbacked Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Yes | 77c | 15.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 79c | 15.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Yes | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-07-17?this page
- Will Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-07-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.