Tennis · resolved market
Philadelphia: Fangran Tian vs Lucciana Perez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bc02fd1e9e927ef20dd91bc0b0dcde4917ff4f3766f1bcb18f7394a41f66929
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fangran Tianof Fangran Tian, Lucciana Perez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lucciana Perez | 31c | 24,766$7,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,696.95 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lucciana Perez | 19c | 9,826$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.72 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lucciana Perez | 39c | 3,784$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.64 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…5fa9backed Fangran Tian | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lucciana Perez | 29c | 2,967$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.99 | 2,821 | 39.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L | -82.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Fangran Tian | 61c | 2,538$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.8 | 931 | 40.4%376 W · 555 L | -32.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Fangran Tian | 66c | 2,347$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.2 | 1,657 | 44.2%733 W · 924 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Fangran Tian | 65c | 2,183$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.28 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Fangran Tian | 57c | 1,999$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.99 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Fangran Tian | 66c | 1,362$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.56 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Fangran Tian | 68c | 1,251$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.87 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Fangran Tian | 27c | 942.89$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.31 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Fangran Tian | 65c | 853.91$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.29 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…ae12backed Lucciana Perez | 14c | 542.75$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Fangran Tian | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.05 | 743 | 43.7%325 W · 418 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Fangran Tian | 69c | 495.99$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.89 | 380 | 47.1%179 W · 201 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Lucciana Perez | 45c | 487.44$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.89 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…aceebacked Fangran Tian | 59c | 370$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Fangran Tian | 60c | 358.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.18 | 176 | 59.1%104 W · 72 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Fangran Tian | 71c | 303.62$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Fangran Tian | 48c | 294.29$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.03 | 600 | 42%252 W · 348 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Fangran Tian | 64c | 279$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 954 | 55.5%529 W · 425 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Fangran Tian | 54c | 255$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Fangran Tian | 63c | 233.68$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.46 | 272 | 56.3%153 W · 119 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Fangran Tian | 59c | 225.63$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.39 | 792 | 49.1%389 W · 403 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Lucciana Perez | 58c | 197$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.26 | 383 | 59.8%229 W · 154 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Lucciana Perez | 38c | 196.57$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked Fangran Tian | 68c | 184$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Fangran Tian | 42c | 180.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.84 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Fangran Tian | 45c | 174.12$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fangran Tian | 42c | 166.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Fangran Tian | 53c | 152.27$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 2,696 | 47.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L | +46.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fangran Tian | 59c | 129.52$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Fangran Tian | 45c | 125.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +26.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Lucciana Perez | 56c | 124.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 433 | 45%195 W · 238 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fangran Tian | 73c | 120.49$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lucciana Perez | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Fangran Tian | 43c | 109.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 1,001 | 54.9%550 W · 451 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Fangran Tian | 36c | 107.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 597 | 38.2%228 W · 369 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…4523backed Fangran Tian | 29c | 104.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Fangran Tian | 53c | 104.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.31 | 189 | 39.2%74 W · 115 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…6dfdbacked Fangran Tian | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Lucciana Perez | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,895 | 48.1%911 W · 984 L | +15.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…9980backed Fangran Tian | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lucciana Perez | 37c | 99.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Fangran Tian | 68c | 92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 326 | 59.2%193 W · 133 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…b1b1backed Lucciana Perez | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 503 | 36%181 W · 322 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Fangran Tian | 60c | 77.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 2,404 | 51.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lucciana Perez | 53c | 73.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Lucciana Perez | 73c | 67.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Lucciana Perez | 31c | 61.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 440 | 64.5%284 W · 156 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Fangran Tian | 63c | 51.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 1,545 | 51.5%795 W · 750 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b0…741bbacked Fangran Tian | 31c | 43.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…26d6backed Fangran Tian | 31c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +60%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Lucciana Perez | 74c | 39.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 238 | 53.4%127 W · 111 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Lucciana Perez | 54c | 31.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 461 | 51.6%238 W · 223 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Lucciana Perez | 56c | 30.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 397 | 47.9%190 W · 207 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Fangran Tian | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 331 | 64%212 W · 119 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Fangran Tian | 54c | 29.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 312 | 50.6%158 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Lucciana Perez | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,013 | 53.8%545 W · 468 L | +35.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Lucciana Perez | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2,442 | 35.8%874 W · 1,568 L | -29.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Lucciana Perez | 58c | 22.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 1,079 | 56.3%608 W · 471 L | +50.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Lucciana Perez | 58c | 20.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 305 | 63.9%195 W · 110 L | +34.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…e94abacked Fangran Tian | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Fangran Tian | 62c | 19.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 726 | 61.8%449 W · 277 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Lucciana Perez | 62c | 18.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 786 | 47.3%372 W · 414 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.