Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Davidson Wildcats vs. Richmond Spiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bef2f2161885e95e52868c05193e87d176e4ed5477765af6fd27bccad1e1958
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Davidson Wildcatsof Davidson Wildcats, Richmond Spiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Richmond Spiders | 50c | 13,000$6,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,528.75 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Davidson Wildcats | 73c | 7,222$5,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.64 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Davidson Wildcats | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818.18 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Richmond Spiders | 15c | 3,104$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.53 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Davidson Wildcats | 48c | 1,481$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.91 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Davidson Wildcats | 76c | 523.82$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.74 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Richmond Spiders | 30c | 334.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Davidson Wildcats | 51c | 317.84$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.13 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Richmond Spiders | 53c | 302.32$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.36 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Richmond Spiders | 50c | 288.27$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.77 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Davidson Wildcats | 51c | 260$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Davidson Wildcats | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Davidson Wildcats | 46c | 219.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.79 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Davidson Wildcats | 64c | 216.12$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Richmond Spiders | 35c | 194.51$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Richmond Spiders | 54c | 167.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.53 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Richmond Spiders | 21c | 117.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Richmond Spiders | 12c | 102$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Davidson Wildcats | 44c | 101.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Richmond Spiders | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Davidson Wildcats | 45c | 71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Davidson Wildcats | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Richmond Spiders | 30c | 59.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Davidson Wildcats | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Richmond Spiders | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Richmond Spiders | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Richmond Spiders | 55c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…e466backed Davidson Wildcats | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Davidson Wildcats | 69c | 32.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Richmond Spiders | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Davidson Wildcats vs. Richmond Spidersthis page
- Davidson Wildcats vs. Richmond Spiders: O/U 140.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.