Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c4bd861f23d515033fba9ac58aa5e61d563d5ec1dcea817c405d275cfdd5c08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 64c | 11,992$7,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,366.65 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Over | 39c | 3,114$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.65 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Over | 36c | 2,671$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.6 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 61c | 2,514$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.31 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Over | 37c | 1,987$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.29 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 36c | 1,592$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.13 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 36c | 1,402$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.84 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 37c | 1,166$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.06 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Over | 36c | 882.38$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.66 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Over | 36c | 792.68$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.36 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Over | 36c | 669.48$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.01 | 105 | 21%22 W · 83 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Over | 37c | 654.3$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.09 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Over | 40c | 578.4$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.36 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 39c | 494.22$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.75 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 40c | 486.71$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.75 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed Under | 64c | 473.9$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.6 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 62c | 393.48$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.45 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 61c | 349.02$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.61 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 40c | 312.34$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 219 | 43.8%96 W · 123 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Over | 38c | 234.54$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.12 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 38c | 120.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 37c | 118.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 36c | 111.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Over | 38c | 74.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -13.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x872c…40e0backed Under | 61c | 73.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 62c | 58.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Under | 75c | 56.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5349…a09dbacked Under | 64c | 46.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 131 | 61.1%80 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…987bbacked Under | 64c | 42.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 38c | 34.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…08f3backed Under | 62c | 31.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 65c | 24.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a0…1145backed Under | 64c | 20.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95a2…3de2backed Under | 62c | 16.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)RED Canids won
- LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonRED Canids won
- LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 WinnerRED Canids won
- LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 WinnerRED Canids won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.